Local Event Sports Association

The midweek line movements in NFL games can tell you two things:

1. Vegas overvalued the public’s opinion on a certain team and has to adjust to the flow of money coming in on their opponent.

2. Injury updates during the week that give you a better idea if a certain star player will or will not play on Sunday.

Here are three line movements that were adjusted for one of the above reasons:

(Lines courtesy of vegasinsider.com)


Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: Opened -11, Now -14

The Steelers were very quiet during the middle half of the season, beating the Jaguars by four at home and the Chiefs by four when both games were double-digit spreads.

Vegas looked at this as an overreaction to a team the always get a lot of action from gamblers. After Pittsburgh dismantled the Bengals by 28, Vegas was slow to adjust to the public. The money has been flowing in and it has caused the line to jump an entire field goal.

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