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Belmont Stakes 2012 Odds: Smart Money Plays You Must Take
On June - 6 - 2012
While every causal horse racing fan would love to see the Triple Crown achieved for the first time since 1978, the odds suggest I’ll Have Another should be ignored. When you are 6-4 odds to win in a 12-horse race, the value has been diminished beyond repair. It’s not the smart bet to take. With the news that he’ll be racing from the No. 11 post (only one horse has placed from this position since 2002), you have further proof this is an awful bet to make. The benefit of having one horse chasing history is that plenty of other ...
Masters Odds 2012: Where Do the Top Golfers Stand for PGA’s Best Event
On April - 3 - 2012
It’s all about Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy...Well, at least that’s what Vegas will have you believe at the 2012 edition of the Masters. The odds have been released, and both players enter the tournament as the clear favorites to put on the green jacket. Woods has opened as the favorite at 4/1, while McIlroy is right behind him at 5/1. Mike Colbert, risk director for Las Vegas-based Cantor Gaming, lays out the reasoning in rather simple terms (via Golf.com): It doesn't matter if it's a computer, my brain or anything else, this year Tiger and Rory are the favorites. ...
NBA on Christmas 2011: Picks Against the Spread for Each Game
On December - 22 - 2011
The NBA season is sitting under a Christmas tree with all of us starring at the big package just counting down the days until Sunday. Opening day provides us with five terrific games with must-watch storylines in all of them. Who is too old? Who needs a fast start? How fast can new players adjust? Plenty of unanswered questions that have yet to be figured out remain. Here are the first five predictions of the year with the spreads being the bow on top: (Courtesy of Covers.com) Boston Celtics +3.5 at New York Knicks The Celtics know they must get ...
NFL Week 16 Picks: Minnesota Vikings and Road Dogs Worth Backing
On December - 22 - 2011
The road dogs are looking rather appetizing in Week 16. Here are three shoo-in’s to beat the spread and provide you with some holiday cheer: (Spreads courtesy of Covers.com)
Minnesota Vikings +6.5 at Washington Redskins The Redskins are coming off a highly emotional victory over a division-rival and are ripe for a letdown. The more they win, the less of an opportunity they have to score a high draft pick to get a quarterback. Rex Grossman is wildly inconsistent and after a few good outings, he’s due for another horrific one, especially with Jared Allen breathing down his neck. Sure the Vikings ...
NFL Week 16 Picks: Giants and Road Dogs Worth Taking a Stab At
On December - 21 - 2011
The stakes are reaching titanic levels and some teams simply have to win to keep their playoff chances alive. The linesmakers haven’t factored in some of this desperation and are being blinded by the location of the game. Here are three road dogs that will not only beat the spread, but win outright: (Spreads courtesy of Covers.com) New York Giants +3 at New York Jets Both teams were blown out last week and both teams are in must-win situations this week. The big difference in this matchup is that the Jets pass offense is by far the worst unit on ...
NFL Week 14 Picks: Dallas Cowboys and Top Home Favorites Worth the Risk
On December - 8 - 2011
The Dallas Cowboys are currently enduring a miserable week of practice fresh off blowing an easy win against the Arizona Cardinals. The anger and frustration will be taken out on the New York Giants. That’s why you should take the Cowboys -3.5 at home. The arrival of DeMarco Murray has done wonders for the Cowboys offense, that now ranks 14th in the league in rushing after being in the low 20s with Felix Jones. He has made Tony Romo’s life much easier, and so will the return of Miles Austin. Combine a healthy Austin with Dez Bryant and the emerging ...
NFL Week 14 Picks: Evaluating the 3 Biggest Line Movements of the Week
On December - 7 - 2011
The midweek line movements in NFL games can tell you two things: 1. Vegas overvalued the public’s opinion on a certain team and has to adjust to the flow of money coming in on their opponent. 2. Injury updates during the week that give you a better idea if a certain star player will or will not play on Sunday. Here are three line movements that were adjusted for one of the above reasons: (Lines courtesy of vegasinsider.com) Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: Opened -11, Now -14 The Steelers were very quiet during the middle half of the season, beating ...
NFL Picks Week 14: 2 Home Favorites Poised to Cover With Ease
On December - 7 - 2011
The ebbs and flows of the NFL season are crystal clear at this point in the season…or so you think. Despite gobs of evidence, there are two home favorites in Week 14 that should be favored by at least a field goal more than they currently are. I’m here to help point these out before Vegas linesmakers adjust. (Spreads courtesy of Covers.com.) Chicago Bears vs. Denver Broncos -3.5 The Bears may have a terrific defense and Devin Hester on special teams, but they also have QB Caleb Hanie. He is fresh off a loss to QB Tyler Palko and ...
NFL Picks Week 6: Why Falcons and Saints Are NFC South Favorites to Jump on
On October - 11 - 2011
There are two NFC South teams favored by 4.5 or less that have a ton of value in Week 6. The lines have yet to adjust and now is the time to jump on board. Atlanta Falcons -4 vs. Carolina Panthers The Falcons played uninspired football last week against the Packers, a shame considering Green Bay knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Expect the urgency to set in this week against division rival Carolina. Matt Ryan, a guy who desperately needs a big game, will be able to move the ball on a weak Panthers secondary. The Falcons ...